tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post1581732109941885224..comments2023-10-17T10:45:07.796-04:00Comments on FJB: Nationals Most Likely to CraterUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-78542600684621481732010-06-07T16:54:13.657-04:002010-06-07T16:54:13.657-04:00What is the name of the baseball principle that sa...What is the name of the baseball principle that says a Catcher's defensive reputation improves as his hitting ability declines?<br /><br />There is a similar principle in political circles that basically says the more pessimistic the appraisal of a candidates chances (regardless of party) the higher the perception of said consultants accuracy.<br /><br />I think we need the same concept in baseball blogging, maybe call it the "Needham Effect" where the more you malign the performance of your teams players the more respected you are in the blogosphere, regardless of the accuracy of your predictions or the merits of your analysis.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06460478739235992651noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-73150023906279359922010-06-07T10:28:14.334-04:002010-06-07T10:28:14.334-04:00How is Scott Olsen likely to crater? His FIP is ac...How is Scott Olsen likely to crater? His FIP is actually better than his ERA. His BABIP is higher than average. Chances are just as likely he gets better (assuming he is healthy). Your dig at him not being able to handle the stress of pitching the past 4 seasons is so wrong. Last year was the first time he had any injury problems. 2 of the 4 years that he supposedly was injury prone had him start 33 games and throw 176 and 201 IP. Hardly injury prone. His velocity isn't even down 2 ticks. It's right around his career average and inline with most of his career except for 1 season.<br /><br />Why don't you admit that you were so wrong about the Olsen/Willingham deal. I remember the sensationalist headline that the Nats got 2 declining players while the Marlins got 3 improving players. Look how that turned out. The 2 Nats players have improved while the Marlins players cratered. Also, I love how in your Armando Galarraga post you were so quick to point out that he was the #5 or 6 prospect in an Expos system that was weak which shouldn't mean much because that system was an embarrassment. Yet at the same time you bashed the Willingham/Olsen trade because Smolinski was the #25 prospect in a strong farm system. I don't care how strong your system is, when you are ranked #25, you are not a legit prospect. That probably translates to #12-15 on the Nats system which means he isn't much of a prospect especially considering the Nats received one of the better hitting OF.ffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15519715559791228117noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-17745390164121308702010-06-06T20:03:23.507-04:002010-06-06T20:03:23.507-04:00If I was a betting man I would say 1-10 will be wo...If I was a betting man I would say 1-10 will be worse, 11-16 should stay about the same, and 17-21 will be better.Stevenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14109288910583404941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-91437033895119307272010-06-06T15:42:09.063-04:002010-06-06T15:42:09.063-04:00Where do you see the lines between the destined to...Where do you see the lines between the destined to suck more, about where they are at, and expect more goodness?<br /><br />And, given your assessment especially for their respective positions, where do you think this puts us relative to the rest of the NL East?<br /><br />Based on this review, I think you're giving us a giant flashing red warning sign that says "bad times ahead" yes?testhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06870302406467697102noreply@blogger.com