tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post1735956053604265742..comments2023-10-17T10:45:07.796-04:00Comments on FJB: Position-by-Position Off-Season Outlook: Corner InfieldUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-12282549676839180962009-12-01T10:32:29.075-05:002009-12-01T10:32:29.075-05:00Please correct me if I'm wrong about this, but...Please correct me if I'm wrong about this, but neither UZR or RZR measure his ability to "cover the bag" at first base, correct? My understanding is that both those statistics measure the fielding of a ball hit to the first baseman. Is there a statistic that measures whether Dunn is an asset or liability when fielding throws from other fielders? I feel like this is just as important for a first baseman in measuring his defensive value as the RZR, and I think Dunn was a pleasant surprise last year in scooping up throws on the bounce and stretching for throws wide of the bag. But that's what my eyes tell me, I wonder if there's a stat that can confirm this (or prove my eyes wrong). I notice that first basemen tend to have lower UZR's than other fielders in general. I think their defensive skills are not adequately measured by normal range-based defensive statistics.Sasskuashnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-26782889373144732942009-11-30T13:31:31.417-05:002009-11-30T13:31:31.417-05:00I suspect the Nats will extend Dunn before the tra...I suspect the Nats will extend Dunn before the trade deadline in 2010 and he'll be sitting on their roster for sseveral years to come. Which is as it should be.An Briosca Morhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06855174362787324401noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-73789220170023333752009-11-30T12:36:33.560-05:002009-11-30T12:36:33.560-05:00I suspect the Nats will sit on Adam Dunn, just lik...I suspect the Nats will sit on Adam Dunn, just like they did Soriano, and end up getting nothing for him. I agree--send him to the AL in a trade and bring back Nick Johnson on a two year deal with incentives.phil dunnnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-88986170041220842292009-11-30T11:05:54.882-05:002009-11-30T11:05:54.882-05:00Watch David Ortiz in Boston, if he's back wher...Watch David Ortiz in Boston, if he's back where he was 2 years ago then never mind, but if he continues to fade and Boston trails the Yanks (and Rays?) they will have to make a move, Dunn fits into that role well and gives them some flexibility to play 1B as needed. Boston also has tons of pitching and Middle Infield depth to work from, and both of course are high priority positions for the Nats.<br /><br />I'm a bit more up on Chris Marrero, who I see as a clone of Willingham's bat and defense, but at 1B. After a solid AFL I see him at AA Harrisburg to start '10 and ready for a cup of coffee or fill in for Dunn post-trade if needed.estuartjhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09709330857511429868noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-88111400768169400442009-11-30T10:27:29.694-05:002009-11-30T10:27:29.694-05:00Well, if the do trade him, then let's hope tha...Well, if the do trade him, then let's hope that B level prospect is a Shortstop with range to spare. <br /><br />I would trade Willigham too to be honest. He is more valuable now than than his limited skill set warrants. Trade high, and don't get enamored with toolsy outfielders who can't defend. That is the Bowden way.Bennoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-5592381210992750012009-11-30T08:18:07.621-05:002009-11-30T08:18:07.621-05:00I agree with a bunch of the points made. There cou...I agree with a bunch of the points made. There could certainly be teams out there in the AL who think they'd be getting a 4-5 win player. The Nationals in fact probably think he's at least a 3-win player, even with the fielding. So I don't think a $12 million contract is prohibitive.<br /><br />Even in last year's depressed FA market, Tampa paid Pat Burrell $7 million to be their DH. <br /><br />Also, teams tend to shy away from long contracts, but any one-year deal like this isn't as much of a problem. That said, the Nationals could probably get more back in talent if they agreed to eat some contract. That's always the case.<br /><br />Without throwing out specific names, I think it's reasonable to think the Nationals could get a B-level prospect and a C-level or two for Dunn, if they could find the right partner.Stevenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14109288910583404941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-47755222830732425892009-11-29T23:53:30.741-05:002009-11-29T23:53:30.741-05:00Dunn is immensely valuable to an AL team. As a DH,...Dunn is immensely valuable to an AL team. As a DH, Dunn would have been worth 4 wins above replacement last year. In reality, he was worth 1.2 WAR. If you figure the worth of an additional win is $4mil, Dunn becomes well worth his $12mil salary as a DH.<br /><br />Last year, only three DHs were worth more than 2 wins (only Jason Kubel exceeded 3 wins), so there's no shortage of teams that could use a guy like Adam Dunn.Willhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01902355704452340677noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-45619706085388376962009-11-29T16:32:47.474-05:002009-11-29T16:32:47.474-05:00I wonder what agreeing to eat some of his salary w...I wonder what agreeing to eat some of his salary would do to Dunn's trade value.Bennoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-3058075990223390492009-11-29T10:03:25.332-05:002009-11-29T10:03:25.332-05:00Good point, but you are suggesting that the Nats c...Good point, but you are suggesting that the Nats could get more value in return for trading Dunn than by keeping him and with his salary I'm not so sure that is true.<br /><br />On another note, I got the impression that Nick Johnson was ready to move on, I don't know if he'd come back even if the Nats were the highest bidder.<br /><br />Nice blog entry, I'll be looking forward to the pitching and outfield reviews.<br /><br />PB69Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-90733645453694725122009-11-29T07:17:52.288-05:002009-11-29T07:17:52.288-05:00you're predicting what you think the Nationals...you're predicting what you think the Nationals WILL do. My post is what I would do. Those are just different things.Stevenhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14109288910583404941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-25974151935833163222009-11-29T07:11:02.370-05:002009-11-29T07:11:02.370-05:00What are we going to get in return for Dunn? With...What are we going to get in return for Dunn? With his $12 million salary we wouldn't be able to demand much in return. Plus ownership is going to want to keep Dunn because he is one of two guys we have that bring people into the park. <br /><br />The only question is whether he resigns or leaves as a free agent. How much are the Nats willing to offer and does Dunn like playing in DC become the two big factors. I expect that Dunn leaves as a FA next winter and the Nats are happy with the draft picks as compensation.<br /><br />PB69Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-1675731644852615722009-11-23T08:52:04.748-05:002009-11-23T08:52:04.748-05:00Dunn has no real business being in the National le...Dunn has no real business being in the National league. <br /><br />He should be traded during the off season for something. Anything. If we eat a certain amount of his salary I imagine that the return might be quite high. But he costs us an awful lot of runs according to his UZR/150Bennoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2074246508221440257.post-79243799171236611602009-11-23T08:31:06.175-05:002009-11-23T08:31:06.175-05:00We'll start the season with Dunn at 1B, but i&...We'll start the season with Dunn at 1B, but i'm guessing one of two things will happen:<br />a. he'll sign an extension in the spring for two more years at slightly elevated salary.<br />b. He won't sign, and we'll deal him to Boston or the Yankees at the deadline to be the most talked about power hitting DH in the league as he blasts 20 homers in the season's final two months. <br /><br />Morse shows promise and is a great fielder. Maybe Marrero comes up and gets some looks if Dunn takes off.Todd Bosshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02588001750834983356noreply@blogger.com