Pitchers first:
- They really like former Indians prospect J.D. Martin, projecting him for a 4.62 eqERA (league and park adjusted ERA), which is better than any other Nationals pitcher other than Saul Rivera (4.53). The team never mentions him as a candidate for the rotation, but I've been saying since the day he signed that if he's given a fair shot he could easily win a spot.
- They don't expect Terrell Young to make it through his rule-5 season, projecting him for a whopping 7.46 eqERA.
- They agree with the team that Jordan Zimmermann's ready, seeing him striking out 6.8 per 9 on his way to a 4.72 eqERA, which trails only Daniel Cabrera's eqERA projection among rotation candidates (speaking of Cabrera Eric Seidman has a really interesting piece on him here).
- They also expect sub-replacement level performance from Collin Balester and Mike Hinckley.
- They see a moderate bounce-back season for Austin Kearns (.264 / .355 / .417) , but not enough to make him a starter. Dukes, Milledge, and Willingham all top him in EqA, BP's composite offensive rate stat.
- Nick Johnson's projection (.266 / .410 / .472) compares nicely to Mark Teixeira's (.287 / .379 / .506). Nick's EqA actually beats Tex .312 to .308.
- They expect sub-replacement level from Anderson Hernandez.
- Milledge's OBP climbs to .352. That'd be a great step for his age-24 season.
- Zimmerman's projection is very solid (.289 / .358 / .471) but not the spectacular break-out they'd projected in past years.
- They love Dukes, seeing a big .282 / .390 /.508 season for him.
1 comment:
I agree wholeheartedly on Martin. Having him in DC should stabilize the rotation/bullpen nicely. And by nicely, I mean it will be one less Levale Speigner/Brian Sanches to worry about.
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