There's a real pattern with Bowden overpaying by resigning guys at their peak value--think 2 years and $10m for DY in a market, well, really no market for him much at all. Let Guzzy come back to Earth in the second half, and then in the off-season we can talk. The market is really pretty full with SS, which means that we not only have a lot of options, but so does everyone else. Here's the list. What's the rush?
Also, while we don't have any major-league ready fill-ins right now, Opening Day, 2009 is a ways away. We should be big time sellers at the deadline, and it seems at least somewhat plausible that we could get a SS with some upside long-term for DY, Belliard, FLop, PLod, Kearns, Perez, Redding, etc.
In fact, come to think of it, Guzman himself should be one of the guys we're shopping to try to get back some youth. Maybe a team in the playoff mix with a lousy SS like wants to make a deal. There are actually several potential suitors:
- The Rays, at 47-31 would be the WC in the AL if the season ended today, and they're playing Jason Bartlett every day. He's solid on defense, but not good enough to overcome his bat. And in case his .246-.291.-.274 line doesn't depress you, consider that he's cratered in September for 3 years in a row, and scouts worry that his small frame can't hold up to a full MLB season.
- The Cards, at 45-35 are in line for the WC in the NL, and they've been doing it with the terrible Cesar Izturis (.241-.315-.241), who is now hurt and being replaced by Brendan Ryan.
- Maybe even the O's delude themselves into thinking they really have a chance. How sweet would it be to fleece the O's on Guzzy?
But nonetheless, while Guzman has some value, we should be looking to flip him for youth, not sign him for more than he's worth.