- Nick Johnson, Ryan Zimmerman, Lastings Milledge, Jason Bergmann, and Austin Kearns will be better in 2009 than they were in 2008.
- Cristian Guzman, John Lannan, Joe Beimel, Joel Hanrahan, Anderson Hernandez, Ronnie Belliard, and Scott Olsen will be worse.
- Ryan Zimmerman will finally take the next step forward, finishing the season with a slash line over .280 / .350 / .480. But he will not make the all-star team.
- Josh Bard will get more than one-third of the starts at catcher.
- Nationals Park will emerge as a very slight hitters park as measured by park factor.
- The Nationals will draw fewer than two million fans.
- Jason Bergmann will have a better ERA than any of the Nationals' top five starters by games started.
- Mike Rizzo will find room for Alberto Gonzalez on the 25-man roster by the end of May at the latest.
- Cristian Guzman, Wily Mo Pena, Dmitri Young, and Ron Belliard will be former Nationals by the end of the season.
- Austin Kearns will have a solid bounce-back season and find himself a starting job with another team by opening day 2010.
- Adam Dunn's streak of 40-HR seasons will end.
- Jordan Zimmermann's ERA will be below the 2008 starting pitcher NL average of 4.40.
- Despite recent additions, the bullpen will be in the bottom third in the NL by ERA.
- Nationals starting pitchers will throw the fewest innings of any team in the NL.
- Scott Olsen will not finish the year in the Nationals rotation.
- The Nationals' top five starting pitchers by IP as a starter will include at least one pitcher not currently with the organization.
- Strasburg will be the pick, and he will sign.
- Aaron Crow will get the $4.4 million he wanted last year.
- Shawn Hill will finish the season with more win shares than the Nationals' fifth starter.
- Nick Johnson will get 500 at bats and finish the season with an OPS+ over 140.
- Mike Rizzo will lose the "acting" and be named the new Nationals GM.
- Manny Acta will get another year.
- NL playoff teams: Mets, Dodgers, Cubs, D'Backs.
- AL playoff teams: Yankees, Red Sox, Tigers, Angels.
- The Dodgers will beat the Yankees in the Series.
- The Nationals record will be 74-88, their fourth last place finish in five years.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
It's prediction time. As opening day approaches, here are the things I see in my crystal ball. Some of these predictions are more "out on a limb" than others, I think, but regardless, prepare your spitballs and let 'em fly.
Posted by Steven at 2:31 AM